Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern5 - 2Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
48.98% | 23.62% | 27.4% |
Both teams to score 58.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.12% | 42.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.72% | 65.28% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% | 17.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.74% | 48.26% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% | 28.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% | 64.79% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich 48.98%
Benfica 27.4%
Draw 23.61%
Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.4% |
How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica
Bayern Munich
87.0%Draw
8.1%Benfica
4.9%246
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 03:44:20
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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