Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 1Dinamo Zagreb
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS |
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
As Rafael Leao may feel he has a point to prove before his domestic suspension kicks in for Sunday's clash with Napoli, the talented winger may play an integral role in getting Milan off the mark in Group E. Victory will not come easily, though, as Dinamo possess several players of the calibre and European experience to score at least once and push the home side close. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
56.66% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( 0.01) | 22.07% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% ( -0.16) | 37.23% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% ( -0.17) | 59.44% ( 0.17) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.95% ( -0.02) | 13.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.37% ( -0.05) | 39.64% ( 0.05) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( -0.17) | 30.1% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( -0.21) | 66.24% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 56.66%
Dinamo Zagreb 22.07%
Draw 21.27%
AC Milan | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.07% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb
AC Milan
74.0%Draw
11.5%Dinamo Zagreb
14.5%442
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 19:23:36
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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