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Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama

Botafogo
2 - 0
Vasco

Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Magallanes
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama will be feeling a lot better about themselves following the 1-0 win over Cuiaba, but this is a different test entirely, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
64.93% (0.616 0.62) 21.33% (-0.238 -0.24) 13.74% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (0.203 0.2)51.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.178 0.18)73% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.26700000000001 0.27)15.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.501 0.5)43.53% (-0.498 -0.5)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)48.04% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75% (-0.328 -0.33)83.26% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 64.92%
    Vasco da Gama 13.74%
    Draw 21.33%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.74%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Vasco

Botafogo
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Sep 17, 2020 11pm
Fourth Stage
Botafogo
1-0
Vasco
Babi (68')
Babi (26'), Honda (77')

Magno (40')
Sep 14, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Botafogo
2-3
Vasco

Forster (15'), Kevin (52')
Catatau (72')
Benitez (7'), Bastos (29')
Oct 17, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Vasco
2-1
Botafogo
Bruno (8'), Ribamar (18')
Castan (79')
Marcelo (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Cruzeiro531187110
6Atletico Mineiro52309369
7BragantinoBragantino62317619
8PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
9Sao Paulo52128537
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense5122710-35
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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