MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 20:16:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Corinthians

Bahia
0 - 0
Corinthians


Kanu (86'), Yago (90+6'), Ademir (90+2')
FT

Gil (90+3'), Murillo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bahia 1-1 Corinthians

These teams are near the bottom of the standings for a reason, as neither have been able to put their opportunities away consistently. Although Bahia will have a few extra days to rest, Corinthians have reacted well when faced with a setback lately and we believe they will again come Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCorinthians
45.15% (-1.802 -1.8) 28.58% (0.738 0.74) 26.26% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (-1.78 -1.78)62.73% (1.781 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (-1.314 -1.31)82.27% (1.315 1.32)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.753 -1.75)27.81% (1.753 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-2.297 -2.3)63.4% (2.297 2.3)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.055 -0.05)40.53% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)77.13% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 45.15%
    Corinthians 26.25%
    Draw 28.58%
BahiaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.631 0.63)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 26.25%

How you voted: Bahia vs Corinthians

Bahia
42.3%
Draw
26.9%
Corinthians
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Corinthians
3-1
Bahia
Guedes (45+4' pen.), Cantillo (52'), Jo (70')
Gilberto (33' pen.)
Araujo (42')
Araujo (45+1')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Bahia
0-0
Corinthians
Bahia (62')
Roni (35'), Gabriel (61'), Ramiro (75')
Jan 28, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
2-1
Corinthians
Gilberto (31'), Pablo Ramirez (45+4')
Gregore (27'), Pablo Ramirez (35'), Ramon (86')
Gabriel (71')
Jo (11')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Corinthians
3-2
Bahia
Otero (17'), Roni (34'), Gil (61')
Fagner (9'), Araos (13'), Xavier (90+7')
Paraiba (36'), Saldanha (89')
Ronaldo (44'), Paraiba (59')
Sep 21, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 20
Corinthians
2-1
Bahia
Love (44' pen.), Clayson (75')
Clayson (45'), Love (89')
Gilberto (64' pen.)
Paraiba (41'), Fonseca (53'), Artur (53'), Flavio (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR531173410
2Bahia531186210
3Atletico Mineiro52309369
4Botafogo530211659
5BragantinoBragantino52307529
6PalmeirasPalmeiras52213128
7FlamengoFlamengo52215508
8Sao Paulo52128537
9InternacionalInternacional42114317
10Cruzeiro42117707
11Gremio42024316
12FortalezaFortaleza41304316
13CriciumaCriciuma31206245
14Corinthians51223305
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Fluminense5122710-35
17Vasco da GamaVasco5104410-63
18Vitoria401349-51
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO401327-51
20Cuiaba4004010-100


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!