Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
