MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:47:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Mineirão
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Jair (9'), Dodo (41'), Zaracho (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cerqueira (51')
Garcia (62'), Cerqueira (72'), Dudu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

With the hosts failing to win any of their last five home games, and the visitors unbeaten in their last fifteen away, it is hard to look past the runaway league leaders for this one. It will not be so straightforward due to missing key players, but the quality of Gustavo Scarpa should be enough to take Palmeiras one step closer to another league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
41.16% (2.224 2.22) 27.6% (-0.572 -0.57) 31.24% (-1.654 -1.65)
Both teams to score 48.15% (1.186 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (1.707 1.71)57.42% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (1.338 1.34)78.23% (-1.339 -1.34)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (2.082 2.08)27.43% (-2.086 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (2.616 2.62)62.91% (-2.619 -2.62)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.28 -0.28)33.65% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.304 -0.3)70.3% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 41.15%
    Palmeiras 31.24%
    Draw 27.59%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.362 0.36)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.388 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.346 0.35)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.15%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.75 -0.75)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.457 -0.46)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
20.7%
Draw
27.6%
Palmeiras
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2022 1.30am
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties

Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')

Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')
Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Wesley (28'), Deyverson (57')
Rocha (18'), Menino (38'), Renan (39'), Deyverson (58')
Zaracho (36'), Hulk (61')
Costa (39'), Fernandez (45+4'), Alonso (54')
Sep 29, 2021 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR531173410
2Bahia531186210
3Atletico Mineiro52309369
4Botafogo530211659
5BragantinoBragantino52307529
6PalmeirasPalmeiras52213128
7FlamengoFlamengo52215508
8Sao Paulo52128537
9InternacionalInternacional42114317
10Cruzeiro42117707
11Gremio42024316
12FortalezaFortaleza41304316
13CriciumaCriciuma31206245
14Corinthians51223305
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Fluminense5122710-35
17Vasco da GamaVasco5104410-63
18Vitoria401349-51
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO401327-51
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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