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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras
2 - 2
Athletico PR

Scarpa (3'), Gomez (55')
Menino (40'), Weverton (90+4')
Cerqueira (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pablo (64'), Terans (85')
Santana (27'), Canobbio (42'), Pedrinho (67'), Heleno (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 0-0 Athletico Paranaense (Athletico Paranaense advances 1-0 on aggregate)

 All good things must come to an end, and while both teams will be without some key components to their midfield, Furacao have masterfully done what few clubs have been able to do this season - keep the mighty Palmeiras at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAthletico Paranaense
58.38% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 23.64% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.052 -0.05)53.01% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)74.6% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)17.92% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)43.41% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.36% (-0.052 -0.05)79.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 58.37%
    Athletico Paranaense 17.98%
    Draw 23.64%
PalmeirasDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.37%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Athletico PR

Palmeiras
46.9%
Draw
42.9%
Athletico Paranaense
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
1-0
Palmeiras
Santana (23')
Moura (58'), Vitinho (69')
Moura (70'), Felipe Scolari (75')

Rafael (58')
Jul 3, 2022 1am
Palmeiras
0-2
Athletico PR

Piquerez (57')
Menino (90+1')
Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
Henrique (39'), Vinicius (45')
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-0
Athletico PR
Rafael (50'), Danilo (88')
Ferreira (64')
Ferreira (90+1')
Feb 24, 2022 12.30am
Athletico PR
2-2
Palmeiras
Terans (19'), Marlos (76')
Heleno (70'), Erick (74'), Hernandez (90+6')
Jailson (28'), Veiga (90+7' pen.)
Dec 6, 2021 10pm
Athletico PR
0-0
Palmeiras

Canesin (75')

Garcia (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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