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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Veliz (44')
Infantino (26'), Mac Allister (77'), Veliz (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lema (34'), Sforza (41'), Mendez (46'), Ditta (70'), Perez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Racing
Saturday, July 16 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Rosario Central 1-1 Newell's Old Boys

 Neither team will want to come away from this fiercely-contested derby on the losing side, particularly the hosts who are precariously positioned just above the bottom three. While Newell's Old Boys will be regarded as the slight favourites given their current form, Rosario have fared better in recent meetings against them, and we expect the hosts to claim a hard-fought point at the Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
49.85% (0.784 0.78) 27.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 23.08% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 44.11% (-0.794 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (-0.616 -0.62)59.82% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (-0.472 -0.47)80.1% (0.477 0.48)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.094000000000008 0.09)24.17% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (0.131 0.13)58.48% (-0.126 -0.13)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17% (-1.117 -1.12)41.83% (1.12 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72% (-0.987 -0.99)78.28% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 49.85%
    Newell's Old Boys 23.08%
    Draw 27.06%
Rosario CentralDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.35% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.284 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.227 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Rosario vs Newell's OB

Rosario Central
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newell's Old Boys
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Rosario
0-1
Newell's OB

Ferreyra (72'), Servio (73')
Manuel Garcia (51')
Luciano (12'), Perez (36'), Sanguinetti (57'), Fernandez (61'), Campagnaro (76')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Newell's OB
1-1
Rosario
Castro (60')
Sforza (21'), Lema (44'), Perez (45+1')
Martinez (53')
Almada (36'), Martinez (45+3'), Vecchio (76'), Ojeda (78')
May 3, 2021 1am
Rosario
3-0
Newell's OB
Ruben (17'), Ferreyra (61'), Martinez (80')
Ferreyra (25'), Ojeda (25'), Vecchio (53')

Rodriguez (25'), Perez (31'), Lema (43'), Fernandez (65')
Sep 15, 2019 7.30pm
Rosario
1-1
Newell's OB
Riano (68')
Lema (66')
Rodriguez (34'), Lema (60'), Gabrielli (74')
Feb 10, 2019 8.10pm
Newell's OB
0-0
Rosario

Formica (80'), Rodriguez (87')

Parot (38'), Camacho (59'), Rinaudo (93')
rhs 2.0
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