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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia

Cervera (52')
Ortiz (27'), Angel Russo (28'), Malcorra (65'), Coronel (68')
Angel Russo (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Arce (48'), Petrasso (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 4-1 Rosario
Sunday, February 4 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Huracan
Sunday, February 4 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
46.08% (-0.515 -0.52) 27.8% (0.23 0.23) 26.12% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 44.83% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72% (-0.618 -0.62)60.28% (0.615 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55% (-0.471 -0.47)80.45% (0.468 0.47)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)26.18% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.724 -0.72)61.27% (0.722 0.72)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.102 -0.1)39.27% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)75.98% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 46.07%
    Independiente Rivadavia 26.12%
    Draw 27.79%
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.28% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.195 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.12%

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