Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
We said: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
As the league table suggests, there is little separating the teams ahead of this one, and we are expecting a tight affair. That said, we also tip the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and nick all three points in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
52.99% ( 2.08) | 24.2% ( -0.93) | 22.81% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 1.51) |
| 50.57% ( 2.65) | 49.42% ( -2.65) |
| 28.53% ( 2.33) | 71.46% ( -2.33) |
| 81.4% ( 1.86) | 18.6% ( -1.86) |
