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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Morales (79')
Varela (30'), Fernandez (38'), Fabra (90+6')
Vasquez (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jara (20'), Castro (90+6'), Mulet (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Monday, September 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.07% (0.262 0.26) 24.78% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 21.16% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (0.2 0.2)53.43% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (0.168 0.17)74.96% (-0.166 -0.17)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (0.18400000000001 0.18)19.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (0.294 0.29)51.73% (-0.292 -0.29)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)40.11% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.75% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.05%
    Velez Sarsfield 21.16%
    Draw 24.78%
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.16%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors

Perrone (22')

Rojo (38')
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Boca Juniors
Mancuello (39'), Tarragona (90')
Bouzat (59'), de los Santos (77')

Rojo (69')
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-7
Boca Juniors
Martin Lucero (26')
Amor (19'), Galdames (57')
Cardona (21'), Villa (31', 53'), Maroni (55', 74'), Tevez (62'), Campuzano (89')
Capaldo (10'), Zambrano (25'), Campuzano (70')
Nov 10, 2019 11pm
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (11'), Dominguez (33'), Gianetti (41'), Cufre (89')

Lopez (11'), Fabra (46'), Marcone (62'), Reynoso (87'), Hurtado (90')
Fabra (61')
Sep 3, 2018 12am
Boca Juniors
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Pavon (29'), Cardona (40' pen.), Villa (92')
Nandez (87')

Gimenez (39')
rhs 2.0
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