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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 30, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Atletico Tucuman

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Tucuman

Romero (69')
Figal (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Estigarribia (45+2'), Pereyra (33'), Marchiori (52'), Di Franco (80')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Everton
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Estudiantes (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
51.85% (-0.252 -0.25) 26.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.17% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (0.24 0.24)61.08% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (0.179 0.18)81.05% (-0.175 -0.17)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.012 -0.01)57.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.42 0.42)44.52% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.338 0.34)80.55% (-0.333 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 51.85%
    Atletico Tucuman 21.17%
    Draw 26.97%
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.17%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Boca Juniors
2-1
Tucuman
Langoni (77', 87')
Advincula (29'), Zambrano (45+2'), Fernandez (79'), Langoni (88')
Lotti (17')
Garay (52'), Acosta (90'), Thaller (90+1')
Sep 19, 2021 12.15am
Tucuman
1-2
Boca Juniors
Lopez (57' og.)
Lotti (28'), Campos (58'), Benitez (89'), Menendez (90+4')
Mussis (90+6')
Lopez (11'), Agustin Montes (30')
Campuzano (81')
Apr 17, 2021 10pm
Boca Juniors
3-1
Tucuman
Medina (5'), Villa (11'), Soldano (90+5')
Heredia (22')
Mussis (39'), Erbes (54'), Gabriel Osores (82'), Bustos (90+1'), Ortiz (90+4')
Erbes (60')
Feb 9, 2020 12.45am
Boca Juniors
2-0
Tucuman
Soldano (23'), Abila (90' pen.)
Campuzano (30'), Fabra (88')

Bravo (14'), Ortiz (53'), Melano (72'), (90')
Carrera (90')
Feb 21, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-2
Tucuman
Abila (61')
Tevez (10'), Nandez (36'), Benedetto (76')
Nunez (9'), Barbona (70')
Abero (14'), Nunez (51'), Diaz (63'), Aliendro (76'), San Roman (76'), Leyes (81'), Barbona (90')
rhs 2.0
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