Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Guinea-Bissau2 - 1Sierra Leone
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-3 Nigeria
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone
The reverse fixture between both nations ended 2-2, and Guinea-Bissau could fall short in their aim to claim a fourth victory in qualifying for the first time, with Sierra Leone expected to hold out in Bissau. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Sierra Leone |
32.37% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( 0.21) | 40.96% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
