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Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Cape Verde national football team

Burkina Faso
2 - 0
Cape Verde

Bande (58'), Ouattara (88')
Bande (59'), Tapsoba (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miguel Pereira Fernandes (41'), Tavares (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Togo
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Cape Verde vs. Eswatini
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Burkina Faso 1-1 Cape Verde

Both sides head into the game in contrasting form, with Cape Verde winning each of their most event three games on the trot. While Burkina Faso are the superior side on paper and will be looking to arrest their slump in form, we are backing the visitors to hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawCape Verde
40.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 27.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 31.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.88% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)57.88% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4% (0.055 0.05)78.6% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.15% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.064999999999998 0.06)63.84% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)33.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.98% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 40.25%
    Cape Verde 31.97%
    Draw 27.77%
Burkina FasoDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Cape Verde

Burkina Faso
57.1%
Draw
31.4%
Cape Verde
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Group A
Cape Verde
0-1
Burkina Faso

Tavares (36'), Fortes (90+2')
Bande (39')
Toure (83')
rhs 2.0
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