Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
44.33% ( -0.05) | 23.37% ( -0.03) | 32.3% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% ( 0.16) | 38.91% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% ( 0.16) | 61.23% ( -0.16) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( 0.04) | 17.94% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% ( 0.07) | 48.76% ( -0.07) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 0.12) | 23.75% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( 0.17) | 57.89% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |