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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
4 - 0
Airbus UK

Marsh-Hughes (1', 28', 59'), Gosset (49')
Gosset (67'), Simpson (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Eyre (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
53.71% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.03% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (0.073 0.07)45.26% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.07 0.07)67.6% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.107 0.11)70.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 53.7%
    Airbus UK Broughton 23.03%
    Draw 23.27%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Airbus UK
0-3
Caernarfon

Edwards (3'), Peers (6'), Leblanc-Akpo (43')
Hughes (4' pen.), Faux (19'), Thomas (47')
Hughes (41')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Airbus UK
Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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