Torque

5 - 1

Maldonado

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.