MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 16:22:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 23, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 3
Nacional

Fernandez (59')
Ramis (21'), Alles (33'), Asconeguy (43'), Paiva (87')
Rojo (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bergessio (37'), Fernandez (41'), Trezza (87')
Bergessio (33'), Candido (51'), Ocampo (60'), Corujo (74'), Garcia (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawNacional
29.03%27.85%43.12%
Both teams to score 46.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94%59.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.51%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04%72.96%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46%62.54%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 29.04%
    Nacional 43.11%
    Draw 27.85%
ProgresoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 12.8%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 8.35%
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.11%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Viega (28'), Sosa (57')
Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')
Aug 27, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 8
Nacional
2-1
Progreso
Garcia (18'), Vecino (45')
Amaral (52')
Silva (76')
Nov 10, 2019 7pm
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Gularte (51')
Rosso (30')
Laborda (69')
Garcia (63'), Ocampo (71'), Barrientos (77')
Jul 27, 2019 11.30pm
Nacional
4-2
Progreso
Zunino (45'), Laborda (67'), Bergessio (74', 88')
Neves Perdomo (40'), Vina (41'), Cardacio (62'), Barrientos (76')
Viega (4'), Gonzalez (81')
Gonzalez (40'), Ezequiel Rodriguez Alonso (91')
Gonzalez (82')
May 5, 2019 12am
Gameweek 11
Nacional
4-0
Progreso
Ramirez (3', 15', 49'), Rodriguez (21')
Zunino (29'), Vina (42')

Sosa (36'), Andrada (45'), Castillo (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1412203072338
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
4Defensor SportingDefensor1474328171125
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
7Racing de MontevideoRacing145361919018
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers144371319-615
10Rampla JuniorsRampla144371425-1115
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
12CerroCerro143561625-914
13River PlateRiver Plate143471722-513
14FenixFenix143471116-513
15DanubioDanubio143471218-613
16Miramar Misiones142571825-711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!