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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Dec 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Penarol

Danubio
1 - 4
Penarol

Comachi (64')
Mendez (40'), Comachi (59'), Victorino (65'), Monzon (67'), Ichazo (69'), Siles (90+2')
Carrera (46'), Mendez (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Britos (11'), Terans (39', 44'), Piquerez (89')
Terans (46')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
DanubioDrawPenarol
25.36%29.36%45.27%
Both teams to score 40.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.48%65.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.75%84.25%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05%42.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.75%79.25%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Score Analysis
    Danubio 25.36%
    Penarol 45.27%
    Draw 29.35%
DanubioDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.36%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 12.5%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 15.43%
0-2 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-3 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.21%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 45.27%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 3
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Rodriguez (83' pen.)
Kagelmacher (49'), Trindade (60'), (84'), (86')
Nequecaur (90+1')
Rodriguez (61'), Pantaleone (65'), Nequecaur (90+2')
Oct 25, 2019 8pm
Danubio
0-2
Penarol

Grossmuller (45'), Mederos (81'), Ramirez (89')
Canobbio (54' pen.), Xisco (66')
Pereira (47'), Abascal (63'), Acevedo (83'), Formiliano (92')
Jul 27, 2019 7pm
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Acevedo (58'), Formiliano (64')
Trindade (31'), Abascal (54'), Rojas (79')

Ghan (51'), Mendez (55'), Gregorio (73')
Apr 6, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
1-0
Danubio
Lema (36')
Trindade (81')

Goni (12'), Ancheta (30'), Montes (46'), Siles (62'), Grossmuller (76')
Sep 16, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Danubio
0-2
Penarol

Rodriguez (47'), Bueno (81'), Gonzalez (87')
Fernandez (59'), Formiliano (76')
Pereira (41'), Canobbio (66'), Rodriguez (71')
Dawson (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol109102241828
2ProgresoProgreso107302314924
3NacionalNacional106402091122
4Defensor SportingDefensor104421913616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing104331512315
6Cerro Largo10433108215
7Boston RiverBoston River104331212015
8River PlateRiver Plate103341314-112
9DanubioDanubio103341113-212
10LiverpoolLiverpool102531515011
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers102351016-69
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10226915-68
13CerroCerro101541118-78
14Rampla JuniorsRampla10226922-138
15Miramar Misiones101451420-67
16FenixFenix10046513-84


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