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Under-20s World Cup | Semi-Finals
Jun 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Uruguay U20s
1 - 0
Israel U20s

Duarte (61')
Diaz (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Navi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Uruguay Under-20s and Israel Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: USA U20s 0-2 Uruguay U20s
Sunday, June 4 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Israel U20s 3-2 Brazil U20s
Saturday, June 3 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Uruguay Under-20s 2-1 Israel Under-20s

Underestimating Israel against Brazil was a fatal mistake, and with the European runners-up scoring in all of their World Cup games so far, another upset is not beyond the realm of possibility. Uruguay could have also done without a fresh injury concern at the back, but Broli's men have history on their side - as well as a formula for defensive success - and Israel's magical run may finally be brought to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Israel Under-20s win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay Under-20s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay Under-20s.

Result
Uruguay Under-20sDrawIsrael Under-20s
43.67%26.75%29.58%
Both teams to score 49.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19%54.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89%76.11%
Uruguay Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08%24.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46%59.54%
Israel Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87%70.13%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay Under-20s 43.66%
    Israel Under-20s 29.58%
    Draw 26.74%
Uruguay Under-20sDrawIsrael Under-20s
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Uruguay U20s vs Israel U20s

Uruguay Under-20s
68.8%
Israel Under-20s
31.3%
48
rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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