Trophee des Champions | Final
Jul 31, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parc des Princes
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes
Losing such an influential attacking outlet in Kolo Muani is a bitter blow for Nantes, but similarly, PSG will have to find a way to stomp their attacking authority without Mbappe in the fold.
Kombouare's side have demonstrated some impressive defensive resilience in pre-season, but Galtier's new-look side still possess the creative nous to break through and get their hands on the Trophee des Champions for the 11th time.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.6% ( 1.84) | 17.32% ( -0.87) | 12.09% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( 0.15) |
| 62.64% ( 1.69) | 37.36% ( -1.69) |
| 40.42% ( 1.8) | 59.58% ( -1.79) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| 90.57% ( 0.9) | 9.43% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.3% ( 2.07) | 31.7% ( -2.07) |
| 58.07% ( -0.42) | 41.93% ( 0.42) |
