Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
68.46% ( 0.16) | 19.15% ( -0.07) | 12.39% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.08) | 45.09% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( 0.08) | 67.44% ( -0.08) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( 0.07) | 12.11% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.33% ( 0.15) | 37.67% ( -0.15) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.57% ( -0.1) | 46.43% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.94% ( -0.07) | 82.05% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 68.45% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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