Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
29.98% ( 0.4) | 26.28% ( -0.32) | 43.74% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% ( 1.44) | 52.79% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( 1.21) | 74.42% ( -1.21) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 1.04) | 32.15% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( 1.16) | 68.64% ( -1.15) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.6) | 23.99% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.84) | 58.24% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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