Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
68.9% ( 0.13) | 19.9% ( -0.07) | 11.19% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 41.13% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% ( 0.14) | 51.09% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.05% ( 0.12) | 72.95% ( -0.12) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% ( 0.08) | 13.78% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% ( 0.17) | 41.1% ( -0.16) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.71% ( -0.02) | 52.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.8% ( -0.02) | 86.19% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 68.9% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 11.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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