Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Lazio |
19.12% | 23.25% | 57.62% |
Both teams to score 49.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% | 49.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% | 71.92% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% | 40.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.09% | 76.91% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% | 17.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.74% | 47.26% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 6.25% 2-1 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 2.84% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.12% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-4 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |