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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Monza
2 - 0
Spezia

Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34'), Izzo (49'), Ranocchia (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Zola (41'), Nikolaou (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Monza
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-1 Spezia

Monza look to have gotten themselves back on track in recent weeks and will head into this weekend's clash as favourites and while we expect Spezia to provide a stern test, we are backing the home side to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.

Result
MonzaDrawSpezia
62.27% (0.137 0.14) 20.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 17.12% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)41.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.052 0.05)64.11% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)12.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (0.114 0.11)39.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)37.73% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)74.51% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Monza 62.27%
    Spezia 17.12%
    Draw 20.61%
MonzaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.12%

How you voted: Monza vs Spezia

Monza
74.5%
Draw
13.7%
Spezia
11.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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