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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli


Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
FT

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-1 Napoli

Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
35.1% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 28.54% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 36.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.067 0.07)60.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.012 -0.01)32.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)68.97% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.64% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.105 0.11)68.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 35.1%
    Napoli 36.35%
    Draw 28.53%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
58.3%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
12.9%
139
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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