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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Inter logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-2 Inter Milan

Although Genoa have proven tough to beat at Marasssi, there is simply no stopping Serie A leaders Inter, who are set to confirm their status as 'Winter Champions' by claiming maximum points in Liguria. Even a handful of injuries cannot derail Simone Inzaghi's impressive squad, who will end a memorable year in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
27.52% (-0.819 -0.82) 26.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.89% (0.813 0.81)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-0.55 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.452 -0.45)55.23% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.374 -0.37)76.46% (0.371 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.892 -0.89)35.32% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.939 -0.94)72.08% (0.938 0.94)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.193 0.19)24.02% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.276 0.28)58.28% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 27.52%
    Inter Milan 45.89%
    Draw 26.59%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.52%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.89%

How you voted: Genoa vs Inter Milan

Genoa
6.5%
Draw
8.4%
Inter Milan
85.2%
155
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Gameweek 27
Genoa
0-0
Inter Milan
Portanova (72'), Gudmundsson (74'), Blessin (75')
Perisic (54')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Skriniar (6'), Calhanoglu (14'), Vidal (74'), Dzeko (87')
Vecino (78')

Criscito (2'), Sturaro (66')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Inter Milan
3-0
Genoa
Lukaku (1'), Darmian (69'), Sanchez (80')

Zapata (19'), Strootman (40')
Oct 24, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 5
Genoa
0-2
Inter Milan

Bani (86')
Lukaku (64'), D'Ambrosio (79')
Martinez (40')
Jul 25, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Genoa
0-3
Inter Milan

Criscito (16'), Romero (45+1')
Lukaku (34', 90+3'), Sanchez (83')
Gagliardini (42'), Ranocchia (74'), Handanovic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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