Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
27.52% ( -0.82) | 26.6% ( 0) | 45.89% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.77% ( -0.45) | 55.23% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.54% ( -0.37) | 76.46% ( 0.37) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.89) | 35.32% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.94) | 72.08% ( 0.94) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.19) | 24.02% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.28) | 58.28% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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