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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lazio logo

Frosinone
2 - 3
Lazio

Lirola (13'), Cheddira (70')
Barrenechea (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zaccagni (38'), Castellanos (57', 62')
Pellegrini (34'), Lazzari (88'), Castellanos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Udinese
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-3 Lazio

Although Frosinone have put 21 of their 24 points on the board at Stadio Stirpe, most came before Christmas. Lazio may be in turmoil, but the Biancocelesti should bounce back under new management, taking advantage of their hosts' dismal downturn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLazio
38.84% (0.438 0.44) 25.63% (0.104 0.1) 35.53% (-0.541 -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.519 -0.52)48.6% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.476 -0.48)70.72% (0.476 0.48)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.559 -0.56)26.46% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.75 -0.75)61.64% (0.75 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 38.84%
    Lazio 35.53%
    Draw 25.62%
FrosinoneDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.53%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lazio

Frosinone
17.7%
Draw
13.3%
Lazio
69.0%
113
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Frosinone
Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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