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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Cagliari logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Cagliari

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jankto (69')
Gaetano (17'), Mina (79'), Scuffet (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 2-1 Cagliari

As Empoli are enjoying their best form of the season, they should expect to overcome a fragile Cagliari side that cannot buy a win on the road. The Sardinians have scored only eight Serie A goals away from home this season, while their hosts are now full of confidence in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawCagliari
35.88% (0.191 0.19) 27.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 36.76% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.224 -0.22)55.82% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.183 -0.18)76.94% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.79% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)29.19% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.322 -0.32)65.13% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 35.87%
    Cagliari 36.75%
    Draw 27.36%
EmpoliDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Empoli vs Cagliari

Empoli
65.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cagliari
10.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-0
Empoli
Lapadula (29')
Maleh (29'), Cacace (64'), Walukiewicz (80')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Cagliari
Pavoletti (84')
Pedro (40'), Marin (71')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli

Godin (75'), Nandez (90+4')
Di Francesco (29'), Stulac (69')
Zurkowski (21')
Jan 20, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 20
Cagliari
2-2
Empoli
Pavoletti (36'), Farias (90')
Di Lorenzo (70'), Zajc (81')
Aug 19, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Empoli
2-0
Cagliari
Krunic (14'), Caputo (52')
Antonelli (28'), Capezzi (66'), Rasmussen (90')

Romagna (44'), Barella (76'), Pisacane (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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