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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino

Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Zappacosta (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19'), Buongiorno (46'), Vlasic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Torino

Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected in this fixture, considering that 35 goals have been scored at an average of 5.8 per game over the last three seasons. Atalanta will be viewed as the slight favourites on home soil, but the visitors are sure to have their say in the contest and should do enough to claim a hard-fought point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
54.45% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.98% (0.044 0.04) 21.57% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)49.85% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)71.85% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)18.2% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.133 -0.13)49.21% (0.138 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.44% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 54.44%
    Torino 21.57%
    Draw 23.97%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.44%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
66.2%
Draw
26.2%
Torino
7.6%
210
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
Atalanta

Izzo (44'), Sirigu (89')
Izzo (76'), Lukic (89')
Ilicic (17', 53', 54'), Gosens (29'), Zapata (45' pen.), Muriel (86' pen., 88')
de Roon (38'), Hateboer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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