MX23RW : Monday, May 6 20:46:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lecce

A total of five draws from eight on their travels shows how hard Lecce can be to beat, so Atalanta may have to settle for a point in their final game of 2023. The hosts are often caught out at the back, and their visitors could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 19.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)83.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.73%
    Lecce 12.35%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
74.0%
Draw
18.0%
Lecce
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!