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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2024 at 12am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
P-P
Fiorentina

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 M. Haifa
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
47.91% (0.33499999999999 0.33) 25.2% (0.193 0.19) 26.88% (-0.532 -0.53)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-1.036 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (-1.161 -1.16)50.15% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-1.04 -1.04)72.11% (1.038 1.04)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.33 -0.33)20.95% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (-0.517 -0.52)53.69% (0.515 0.52)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-1.03 -1.03)33.12% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-1.153 -1.15)69.72% (1.15 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.91%
    Fiorentina 26.88%
    Draw 25.2%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.227 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 47.91%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.88%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
15.3%
Fiorentina
9.7%
72
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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