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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
St Mirren

Watkins (7', 43'), Ramirez (9', 71')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tanser (42')
Tanser (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren

There is little to separate the two teams in the league at the moment and that is something that will likely be reflected in this fixture. However, with the Buddies lacking in confidence due to their poor form as of late, this could be an opportunity for Aberdeen to earn another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
46.53%25.92%27.55%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82%56.18%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44%70.56%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 46.53%
    St Mirren 27.55%
    Draw 25.92%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Mirren
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 7
St Mirren
3-2
Aberdeen
Ronan (14', 58'), Fraser (61')
Fraser (33')
Brown (18'), Ramirez (34')
Jenks (27'), Ferguson (50'), Brown (66'), Ramsey (90+2'), Hayes (90+2')
Jenks (51')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
St Mirren
1-1
Aberdeen
McGrath (44' pen.)
Doyle-Hayes (38'), Erhahon (39')
Hayes (37')
Ferguson (5'), Hayes (55')
Ferguson (51')
Nov 28, 2020 5.15pm
Second Round
St Mirren
2-1
Aberdeen
Durmus (4'), McGrath (88')
MacPherson (65'), Doyle-Hayes (87')
McGinn (43')
Considine (53')
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberdeen
2-1
St Mirren
Watkins (71'), Ferguson (90+1')
McCrorie (88')
Erhahon (54')
McCarthy (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic440092286490
2RangersRangers430184295584
3Hearts412151391267
4Kilmarnock41124543255
5St Mirren41124449-547
6Dundee40044867-1941
Relegation Group
1Aberdeen44004650-447
2Hibernian42025158-745
3Motherwell42025557-243
4Ross County41123665-2934
5St Johnstone40132753-2632
RLivingston42022869-4124
 
First Phase
CCeltic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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