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Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 15
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Bonnyrigg Rose

Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose

Brown (38' pen.)
Miller (71'), Yates (81'), O'Reilly (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barrett (40')
Gray (23'), Grigor (88'), Stewart (90+1'), Hunter (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stranraer 3-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
40.88% (0.755 0.76) 24.52% (0.126 0.13) 34.59% (-0.885 -0.88)
Both teams to score 59.15% (-0.638 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.759 -0.76)43.72% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (-0.746 -0.75)66.11% (0.742 0.74)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)21.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)54.45% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.848 -0.85)24.71% (0.845 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-1.199 -1.2)59.25% (1.195 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 40.88%
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 34.59%
    Draw 24.52%
StenhousemuirDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.275 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.173 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.59%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Bonnyrigg Rose
2-4
Stenhousemuir
Smith (51'), Martyniuk (83' pen.)
Yates (7', 75'), O'Reilly (18'), Orr (90')
Yeats (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir361814450311968
2PeterheadPeterhead361612858391960
3Spartans361513853431058
4Dumbarton361691156441257
5East FifeEast Fife361111144647-144
6Forfar AthleticForfar36915123845-742
7Elgin CityElgin361010163559-2440
8Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose36912154748-139
9Clyde36911164658-1238
10StranraerStranraer3699183853-1536


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