Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
73.21% ( 0.01) | 16.5% ( -0) | 10.29% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.07% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0) | 38.67% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( -0) | 60.97% ( 0.01) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.85% ( 0) | 9.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.96% ( 0) | 31.04% ( -0) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.01% ( -0.02) | 45.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.29% ( -0.01) | 81.71% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.06% 3-0 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.45% 4-0 @ 5.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.95% Total : 73.2% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.5% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |