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Dundee logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Inverness CT

Dundee
1 - 0
Inverness

Robinson (60')
Beck (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hyde (44'), Duffy (69'), Delaney (81'), Harper (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dundee and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Dumbarton
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
54.67% (1.424 1.42) 23.31% (-0.218 -0.22) 22.02% (-1.208 -1.21)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.859 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.389 -0.39)46.55% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.367 -0.37)68.82% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (0.372 0.37)16.91% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.03% (0.658 0.66)46.97% (-0.66 -0.66)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-1.33 -1.33)35.37% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-1.408 -1.41)72.12% (1.405 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 54.66%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 22.02%
    Draw 23.3%
DundeeDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.38 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.292 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.159 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.02%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Inverness
1-1
Dundee
Samuels (75')
Cameron (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dundee
1-1
Inverness
Robinson (13' pen.)
Harper (56')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Inverness
0-1
Dundee
McMullan (26')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dundee
2-3
Inverness
Sweeney (12'), McMullan (57')
Harper (15', 83'), Mckay (45+2' pen.)
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 25
Inverness
1-1
Dundee
Mackay (84')
Allardice (25')
Allardice (64'), McKay (79')
Ashcroft (86')
Elliott (55')
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