Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
72.22% | 17.29% | 10.49% |
Both teams to score 46.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.19% | 41.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.79% | 64.21% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.8% | 10.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.51% | 33.49% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.99% | 83.01% |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 12.67% 1-0 @ 11.1% 3-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.51% 4-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.51% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.21% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.29% | 0-1 @ 3.6% 1-2 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.51% Total : 10.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
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