Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
36.1% | 25.42% | 38.48% |
Both teams to score 56.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% | 47.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% | 69.82% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% | 25.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.42% | 60.58% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% | 24.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.46% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |