Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
39.11% ( 0.52) | 26.65% ( 0.67) | 34.23% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 51.83% ( -2.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -2.94) | 53.12% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( -2.55) | 74.69% ( 2.55) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -1.07) | 26.54% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.25% ( -1.44) | 61.75% ( 1.44) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( -2.15) | 29.43% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( -2.71) | 65.43% ( 2.71) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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