Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
49.93% ( -3.03) | 23.89% ( 0.8) | 26.18% ( 2.23) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -1.55) | 45.03% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -1.51) | 67.38% ( 1.5) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.89% ( -1.7) | 18.1% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.95% ( -2.98) | 49.05% ( 2.98) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% ( 0.98) | 30.96% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% ( 1.13) | 67.26% ( -1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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