Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
44.93% ( -0.18) | 24.47% ( -0.02) | 30.6% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 57.81% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( 0.17) | 44.82% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.17) | 67.17% ( -0.17) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( -0.01) | 20.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% ( -0.01) | 52.29% ( 0.01) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 0.21) | 27.68% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( 0.27) | 63.24% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |