MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:52:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al-Ahli

Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 6-0 Mumbai City
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ahli

 While the hosts have put up a few big scorelines already this season, most of those came on the road, while at home, they seem to have opted to remain defensively solid and see out games without too much fuss. This should be an entertaining match, but we feel Al-Hilal will claim the points and maintain their place at the top of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
60.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 21.31% (0.302 0.3) 17.73% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-1.833 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-2.04 -2.04)43.81% (2.033 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-2.028 -2.03)66.2% (2.021 2.02)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (-0.625 -0.63)13.89% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (-1.242 -1.24)41.31% (1.235 1.24)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-1.674 -1.67)38.27% (1.667 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97% (-1.643 -1.64)75.03% (1.636 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 60.95%
    Al-Ahli 17.73%
    Draw 21.31%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.679 0.68)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.444 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.225 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 60.95%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.219 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.31%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.73%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal
76.9%
Draw
11.5%
Al-Ahli
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal30282091197286
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli30167759332655
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad301551056431350
6Al Fateh31119115248442
7Al Fayha31119114249-742
8Al ShababAl Shabab30118114136541
9Al Ettifaq30101193632441
10Damac30108124139238
11Al Khaleej3099123240-836
12Al WahdaAl Wahda3095164155-1432
13Al RaedAl Raed3087153847-931
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
16Abha3084183479-4528
17Al Tai3076172957-2827
18Al Hazem30311162968-3920
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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