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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
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Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Maritimo

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
Sylla (26'), Abass (29'), Vitor (39'), Teixeira (41'), Vitoria (43'), Guimaraes (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Winck (27' pen.)
Xadas (13'), Beltrame (14'), China (45+4'), Rene (80'), Val (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Maritimo

 Chaves and Maritimo have struggled for form in recent weeks and will head into Sunday in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMaritimo
51% (0.012 0.01) 26% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.138 -0.14)56.19% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.114 -0.11)77.24% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)22.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.118 -0.12)39.83% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.11 -0.11)76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 50.99%
    Maritimo 23%
    Draw 26%
ChavesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Maritimo

Chaves
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Maritimo
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Joel (39')
Vidigal (45+7')
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'), Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
Feb 2, 2019 3.30pm
Chaves
1-0
Maritimo
Bressan (69')
Jefferson (78'), Niltinho (92')

Africo (56'), Joel (80'), Junior (91'), Costa (94')
Aug 24, 2018 8.30pm
Maritimo
2-1
Chaves
Barrera (91'), Lucas (95')
Joel (42'), Danny (44'), China (87'), Barrera (91')
William (17')
Djavan (45'), Eustaquio (82'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (94')
May 6, 2018 6pm
Chaves
4-1
Maritimo
Tiba (37'), Bressan (45' pen.), Pereira (52', 77' pen.)
Paulinho (43')
Bebeto (26')
Bebeto (45'), Junior (45'), Baiano (46')
Jan 3, 2018 6.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Oliveira (83')
Gamboa (55'), Carlos Ramos Martins (59'), Costa (67'), Borges (88')
Platiny (24'), Davidson (50')
Tiba (53'), Pereira (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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