Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 81.29%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a win it was 0-1 (2.03%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
81.29% | 12.26% | 6.45% |
Both teams to score 47.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.55% | 31.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.07% | 52.92% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.14% | 5.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.52% | 22.47% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.22% | 49.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.49% | 84.5% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 11.74% 3-0 @ 11.11% 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.19% 4-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 4.48% 5-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.7% 6-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.93% Total : 81.29% | 1-1 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 2.91% 2-2 @ 2.86% Other @ 0.71% Total : 12.26% | 0-1 @ 2.03% 1-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.41% Total : 6.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |