Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
37.56% ( -0.02) | 25.04% ( -0.01) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( 0.04) | 45.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( 0.04) | 68.14% ( -0.03) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( 0.01) | 24.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( 0.01) | 58.31% ( -0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.04) | 24.13% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 0.05) | 58.43% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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