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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle

Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Guimaraes scores a brace as Newcastle United record a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
31.53% (1.088 1.09) 24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.28% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.582 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.51799999999999 0.52)43.08% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.509 0.51)65.48% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.953 0.95)26.23% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.26 1.26)61.33% (-1.263 -1.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.253 -0.25)19.64% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.412 -0.41)51.6% (0.409 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.53%
    Newcastle United 44.28%
    Draw 24.18%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
22.3%
Draw
26.1%
Newcastle United
51.6%
157
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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