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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
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Liverpool
2 - 1
Newcastle

Firmino (61'), Carvalho (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (38')
Lascelles (87'), Trippier (90')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool's Fabio Carvalho scores a 98th-minute winner to earn his side a 2-1 victory over previously-unbeaten Newcastle United at Anfield.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up in Wednesday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 9-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
77.1% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52) 13.88% (0.315 0.32) 9.03% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.57% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)29.44% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.49% (-1.143 -1.14)50.51% (1.148 1.15)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.288 -0.29)6.21% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (-0.813 -0.81)23.47% (0.817 0.82)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-0.278 -0.28)41.94% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.244 -0.24)78.38% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 77.09%
    Newcastle United 9.03%
    Draw 13.88%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.267 0.27)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 3.6% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 77.09%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.61% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.88%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.03%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Newcastle

Liverpool
74.1%
Draw
14.1%
Newcastle United
11.8%
382
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Newcastle
0-1
Liverpool

Joelinton (43')
Keita (19')
Jota (43'), Gomez (51'), Mane (68')
Dec 16, 2021 8pm
Liverpool
3-1
Newcastle
Jota (21'), Salah (25'), Alexander-Arnold (87')
Henderson (70')
Shelvey (7')
Joelinton (45+2'), Fraser (55'), Hayden (86')
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Liverpool
1-1
Newcastle
Salah (3')
Kabak (9'), Fabinho (89')
Willock (90+5')
Fernandez (16')
Dec 30, 2020 8pm
Newcastle
0-0
Liverpool

Clark (12'), Hayden (85')

Fabinho (49'), Milner (65'), Phillips (78')
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Newcastle
1-3
Liverpool
Gayle (1')
Fernandez (33')
Van Dijk (38'), Origi (59'), Mane (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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