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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Luton Town

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 1-2)
Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record their first-ever Premier League victory with a 2-1 triumph over Everton at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawLuton Town
37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 27.91% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 34.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.035999999999994 0.04)57.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.66% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.039999999999992 0.04)30.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Everton 37.12%
    Luton Town 34.95%
    Draw 27.91%
EvertonDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%

How you voted: Everton vs Luton

Everton
76.1%
Draw
12.8%
Luton Town
11.0%
109
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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