Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
41.41% | 25.95% | 32.63% |
Both teams to score 53.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.52% | 72.47% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% | 24.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% | 58.48% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% | 29.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% | 65.14% |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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